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Solving Kaldor's (1957) Model

Equations

(1) Capital Stock "desired" by firms: [Graphics:Images/index_gr_1.gif]

(2) Investment Function: [Graphics:Images/index_gr_2.gif]

(3) Saving Function: [Graphics:Images/index_gr_3.gif]

(4) Technical Progress Function: [Graphics:Images/index_gr_4.gif] , where [Graphics:Images/index_gr_5.gif]or
(4')
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_6.gif]

Dividing (2) by [Graphics:Images/index_gr_7.gif]:
(2') [Graphics:Images/index_gr_8.gif]

From (1) we may rewrite: [Graphics:Images/index_gr_9.gif] , from (4') we have [Graphics:Images/index_gr_10.gif], and from (4) [Graphics:Images/index_gr_11.gif]. By using these equations we can rewrite (2') so that


[Graphics:Images/index_gr_12.gif]

Suppose that the macroeconomic equilibrium holds at the end of each period ([Graphics:Images/index_gr_13.gif]) and that the workers "spend what they earn" [Graphics:Images/index_gr_14.gif], then we have:
(5) [Graphics:Images/index_gr_15.gif]

And then dividing (5) by [Graphics:Images/index_gr_16.gif] we have [Graphics:Images/index_gr_17.gif]or [Graphics:Images/index_gr_18.gif]

Thus,
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_19.gif]

Finally solving [Graphics:Images/index_gr_20.gif]  (and renaming a=[Graphics:Images/index_gr_21.gif]and b=[Graphics:Images/index_gr_22.gif]):

[Graphics:Images/index_gr_23.gif]
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_24.gif]

(6)  [Graphics:Images/index_gr_25.gif]=[Graphics:Images/index_gr_26.gif]
As we may notice (6) is a nonlinear difference equation.

Numeric Solution

Parameters

Proportion out of output held as capital (see equation 2)

[Graphics:Images/index_gr_27.gif]
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_28.gif]

Productivity's autonomous growth ([Graphics:Images/index_gr_29.gif]) + 1

[Graphics:Images/index_gr_30.gif]
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_31.gif]
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_32.gif]
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_33.gif]

Proportion of profit share

[Graphics:Images/index_gr_34.gif]
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_35.gif]

Sensibility of technical progress to the capital accumulation process

[Graphics:Images/index_gr_36.gif]
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_37.gif]

Saving out of profits ratio

[Graphics:Images/index_gr_38.gif]
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_39.gif]

Initial investment ratio

[Graphics:Images/index_gr_40.gif]
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_41.gif]

This creates an array of values to be use in iterations

[Graphics:Images/index_gr_42.gif]
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_43.gif]
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_44.gif]

It fills the array with the results of the recursive equation (6) which defines the investment ratio over time.

[Graphics:Images/index_gr_45.gif]

Number of Periods: 15

[Graphics:Images/index_gr_46.gif]
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_47.gif]

[Graphics:Images/index_gr_48.gif]

[Graphics:Images/index_gr_49.gif]
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_50.gif]
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_51.gif]
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_54.gif]

[Graphics:Images/index_gr_55.gif]

[Graphics:Images/index_gr_56.gif]

Steady-State values (Numeric Solving)

Productivity Growth Ratio

[Graphics:Images/index_gr_57.gif]
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_58.gif]

Capital-Output ratio (v)

[Graphics:Images/index_gr_59.gif]
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_60.gif]

Profit Share (Cambridge Equation)

[Graphics:Images/index_gr_61.gif]
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_62.gif]

Share of profits in income

[Graphics:Images/index_gr_63.gif]
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_64.gif]

Note that the necessary conditions with regard to the slope of the investment and savings curve are held: [Graphics:Images/index_gr_65.gif]
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_66.gif]is the output-capital ratio, which is a tantamount to the inverve of the capital-output (v)

[Graphics:Images/index_gr_67.gif]
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_68.gif]
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_69.gif]
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_70.gif]

Steady-State values (Algebraic Solving)

THE VALUES BELOW ARE THE SAME OF THE NUMERIC SOLVING ABOVE. IT INDICATES THAT BOTH RESULTS ARE CONSISTENT.

Productivity Growth Ratio

[Graphics:Images/index_gr_71.gif]
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_72.gif]

Capital-Output ratio (v)

[Graphics:Images/index_gr_73.gif]
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_74.gif]

Profit Share (Cambridge Equation)

[Graphics:Images/index_gr_75.gif]
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_76.gif]

Share of profits in income

[Graphics:Images/index_gr_77.gif]
[Graphics:Images/index_gr_78.gif]

References

Kaldor, N. (1957). “A Model of Economic Growth”. Economic Journal, Vol. 67.

By Fabio Hideki Ono - http://fhono.conjuntura.com.br


Converted by Mathematica      April 12, 2004